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The original work used cross sectional analysis of five years of data from the expenditure and food survey to estimate price elasticities for the main analysis, and also tested how sensitive the results were to alternative estimates taken from the research literature. The previous model combined beers and ciders, which would be better separated given their different duty rates and consumption patterns.We defined moderate drinking as alcohol intake up to 21 units per week for males and 14 units per week for females, and non drinkers were included in this group; hazardous drinking as alcohol intake between 21 and 50 units per week for males and between 14 and 35 units for females; and harmful drinking as alcohol intake of more than 50 units per week for males and over 35 units for females.In this study we have developed a new version of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (version 2.5) in which we have updated data on baseline consumption and prices; developed new estimates on price elasticity accounting for the longitudinal aspects of the expenditure and food survey data (now renamed as the living costs and food survey), separated cider from beers; and incorporated greater subgroup functionality including the ability to define socioeconomic subgroups.13 The Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (version 2.5) is used to address the current research question: What would be the differential potential impact of a ban on below cost selling versus a minimum unit price policy of 40p, 45p, or 50p if the policies were to be implemented in 2014 15?
In particular, what are the estimated potential effects on alcohol consumption, consumer spending, tax and duty revenues, and health harms, including deaths, admissions to hospital, quality of life, and costs to the National Health Service of these outcomes?MethodsOverview of the modelThe aim of Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (version 2.5) is to appraise a wide variety of policy options, including minimum unit pricing through analysis of selected costs and benefits. This involves modelling a linked series of policy outcomes for 96 population subgroups defined by sex, age, annual income, and consumption level.